The Scottish Open returns to the Renaissance Membership for a fourth-straight 12 months on Thursday, July 7.
The pre-tournament narrative: In a last tune-up earlier than The Open, 14 of the world’s prime 15 gamers and three Canadians are within the subject this week. This course has been beneficial to nice ball-strikers, so control Hideki Matsuyama, Collin Morikawa and Max Homa.
Listed below are our greatest Scottish Open picks for July 7.
Scottish Open picks overview
- Hideki Matsuyama top-20 end (+163), winner (+3,300)
- Collin Morikawa top-10 end (+300)
- Max Homa top-20 end (+225)
Scottish Open picks
Greatest guess: Hideki Matsuyama prime 20 (+163), to win (+3,300)
Matsuyama has had fairly the 12 months, so it’s considerably shocking to search out him this far down the chances board.
His final begin was a fourth-place end on the U.S. Open the place Matsuyama closed the match with a bogey-free 65, the bottom spherical all week. He was second in strokes gained on strategy photographs for the occasion, which shouldn’t come as a shock to anybody who watches the 2021 Masters champion continuously.
Matsuyama hits 69.79% of greens in regulation, good for the seventh-best mark on the PGA Tour.
Hitting greens results in birdie putts, which results in going low. Take a look at his scoring averages this season:
|Golfer||Par 3 scoring common||Par 4 scoring common||Par 5 scoring common||Whole scoring common|
|Hideki Matsuyama||3.00 (thirteenth)||3.96 (fifth)||4.47 (seventh)||69.82 (thirteenth)|
To be registering averages like that is spectacular stuff, and explains why Matsuyama is so constant. It’s additionally a motive why we’re so excessive on him this week.
Renaissance Membership locations a robust emphasis on iron play, and has a novel setup with 5 par-3s and 4 par-5s. Matsuyama hasn’t had a lot success at The Open, however this isn’t a typical Scottish hyperlinks course, so there’s motive to consider he’ll succeed right here.
Exterior of an damage withdrawal from the Valero Texas Open and disqualification from the Memorial Event, Matsuyama has made each lower this season. He’s gained two occasions, has six top-10 finishes and has solely misplaced strokes on strategy in a single occasion.
Key stat: Matsuyama’s birdie common of 4.30 is the Tenth-best on tour.
Learn extra: Scottish Open lengthy shot picks
Morikawa prime 10 (+300): Because the reigning champion golfer of the 12 months, we anticipate Morikawa to do some injury over the following two weeks. He, too, is likely one of the finest ball strikers on earth and comes off a serious championship the place the putter received scorching (T5, U.S. Open).
Morikawa has eight top-10 finishes this 12 months, and likewise possesses the bottom final-round scoring common on tour (67.30). If he will get in competition, it’s cheap to imagine he’ll keep there.
Homa top-20 (+225): Homa has two wins this season to go together with seven top-20 finishes, so we have been a tad shocked to see him at 50-to-1 to win the match.
He’s a remarkably constant ball striker that has discovered one thing with the putter this 12 months. With that mixture of expertise current, it’s not a shock Homa has discovered his approach to the highest of many leaderboards. We predict Homa’s a strong guess to card his eighth top-20 this season.
Learn Extra: Scottish Open prop picks
Canadians on the Scottish Open
There are three Canadians within the subject this week on the Scottish Open:
- Conners’ final 4 occasions have been a blended bag (CUT, 6, T13, CUT)
- Hughes has been using a scorching putter to 4 straight top-40 finishes — together with a T24 on the U.S. Open
- Taylor has struggled recently, lacking the lower in six of his final 9 occasions.
Odds as of 4:35 p.m ET on 07/04/2022
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