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How the Conservatives and Boris Johnson are faring in the opinion polls

Labour has loved a small however constant lead over the Conservatives within the opinion polls for the previous seven months.

The measurement of the lead has various, from a median of simply three factors to as many as 11 factors.

You are reading: How the Conservatives and Boris Johnson are faring in the opinion polls

Sir Keir Starmer’s celebration first moved forward within the polls in early December 2021, across the time tales first started to emerge of Downing Avenue events throughout Covid-19 lockdowns.

Earlier than this level, Labour had spent a lot of the previous couple of years trailing properly behind the Authorities.

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Based mostly on a seven-day rolling common of all nationwide revealed polls, Labour’s vote share stood at 39% on July 5, forward of the Conservatives on 33%, with the Liberal Democrats on 13% and the Greens on 6%.

(PA Graphics)
(PA Graphics)

A yr in the past, the Conservatives have been averaging 41%, Labour 33%, the Lib Dems 9% and the Greens 5%.

Opinion polls are snapshots of the prevailing public temper, not projections or forecasts.

With the subsequent common election nonetheless greater than two years away – the most recent attainable date is January 23 2025 – there may be loads of time for the nationwide numbers to vary.

However polls each form and replicate the prevailing temper of the nation, in flip affecting morale amongst politicians and celebration members alike.

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The information for the Conservatives is equally grim when Boris Johnson’s recognition scores.

The Prime Minister’s internet favourability score – the distinction between the proportion of individuals saying they’ve a beneficial opinion of him and people who have an unfavourable opinion – has been at or close to an all-time low since January.

It presently stands at minus 51 factors, in response to figures compiled by the polling group YouGov.

Boris Johnson has had destructive favourability scores for nearly his total premiership, save for a number of weeks in spring 2020 initially of the Covid-19 pandemic.

It is just in latest months that the rating has sunk beneath minus 40, nevertheless.


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