Thursday, December 1, 2022
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The Poland missile crisis is over but the war will continue

And breathe. This disaster passes. The missile that struck a Polish village on Tuesday evening seems to have been a Ukrainian air defence missile fired in response to close by Russian strikes.

The probably rationalization for Putin’s battle spilling into Poland is that it was an accident, not intentional. From a diplomatic perspective, this was the least worst end result.

You are reading: The Poland missile crisis is over but the war will continue

But Moscow does have some culpability for taking part in with hearth, concentrating on infrastructure alongside the Polish border. The Kremlin dangers a mistake or a misunderstanding with perilous penalties.

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If Russia was not firing missile barrages in an try and cripple Ukraine’s society and economic system – and harm European prosperity for years to return – then this incident on Nato soil would by no means have occurred.

Heightened tensions after Tuesday’s missile strikes throughout Ukraine make it extra, not much less, seemingly that future incidents might escalate dangerously past the management of leaders in Nato capitals and Moscow.

As our particular correspondent, Patrick Cockburn, writes in the present day: “Wars that don’t finish are likely to escalate and unfold… Any battle dangers getting out of hand as either side tries to offer their enemies a nasty shock and assault the place they least anticipate it.” Patrick has reported from conflicts throughout the globe and was Moscow correspondent for the Monetary Instances, so his take is value studying.

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This disaster has ended, however the self-fulfilling nature of battle means there might be future flashpoints.

Each side imagine they’ll nonetheless make navy good points, which means they may proceed to combat and civilians can pay the worth. Putin’s invasion of Ukraine has not gone to plan, which means he’ll probably double down, given he finds retreat unimaginable and the stakes are so excessive for his personal management.

Twitter: @olyduff

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